Heh, that's an interesting way of looking at it.

I'd add another thing or two to her list of bad predictions. But you know what? Predictions are hard. It's interesting to talk about them in hindsight, but I don't want to imply that getting them wrong is a significant failing.

In college I had a professor whose expertise was German history. Any time we asked him what would have happened if certain events had gone differently, he refused to discuss it. He said that he didn't want to make predictions because 6 months before the Berlin Wall came down he gave a speech where he predicted that the wall would never come down. That put him out of the prediction game.